Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.811531 2.073946 2.362373 2.703136 3.095041 3.532016 4.056728
2025-08-10 1.377977 1.706582 2.097866 2.598982 3.225048 3.983155 4.973535
2025-08-17 1.066954 1.411583 1.850564 2.452519 3.259464 4.308038 5.780940
2025-08-24 0.883830 1.238625 1.717974 2.415940 3.411580 4.788793 6.852415
2025-08-31 0.743124 1.095622 1.597278 2.367630 3.528992 5.227637 7.924783
2025-09-07 0.672398 1.038259 1.584242 2.464562 3.860942 6.011283 9.614114
2025-09-14 0.600938 0.967425 1.538294 2.500346 4.098584 6.678150 11.218118
2025-09-21 0.530143 0.886404 1.463413 2.475855 4.230517 7.187348 12.632644
2025-09-28 0.459671 0.795582 1.359352 2.385806 4.235238 7.477960 13.705127
2025-10-05 0.434716 0.778227 1.375198 2.502256 4.612097 8.459123 16.159343
2025-10-12 0.412229 0.761826 1.389679 2.616427 4.997674 9.504204 18.888054
2025-10-19 0.386244 0.735401 1.382107 2.687147 5.308437 10.446780 21.554477
2025-10-26 0.356060 0.698786 1.353822 2.719932 5.561468 11.335902 24.308426
2025-11-02 0.316729 0.639484 1.274770 2.641338 5.578922 11.755032 26.144703
2025-11-09 0.276721 0.573762 1.174800 2.505884 5.457317 11.865046 27.318342
2025-11-16 0.251847 0.536173 1.127512 2.475697 5.559145 12.472261 29.731966
2025-11-23 0.228542 0.498987 1.076412 2.429984 5.619169 12.993786 32.030616
2025-11-30 0.219700 0.492228 1.089965 2.531730 6.034227 14.395575 36.737250
2025-12-07 0.206705 0.474503 1.076935 2.569715 6.302587 15.487064 40.845881
2025-12-14 0.190622 0.447685 1.039914 2.545159 6.413415 16.206702 44.099996
2025-12-21 0.171852 0.412289 0.978673 2.452835 6.339399 16.446323 46.086938
2025-12-28 0.167694 0.411684 1.000448 2.572865 6.835353 18.247993 52.802700
2026-01-04 0.163454 0.410351 1.020243 2.690483 7.342654 20.158961 60.195584